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Energy Law Exchange

June 6, 2014

Drafting Lessons From The “Deliver-Or-Pay Wars” Of The Southern Cone


The increase of domestic gas (domgas) obligations imposed by Host States in pipeline gas or LNG export projects has become a trend in the international gas industry. [1]

A domgas obligation is a mandate established by contract or regulation by a Host State over a hydrocarbons producer/exporter so as to allocate a portion of its natural gas reserves and production to the domestic market, on a permanent or temporary basis, in exchange for a consideration or as part of the Government-take. [2]

In a world where gas exporting countries are increasing their domestic consumption at astonishing rates ( , Egypt, Russia, even Qatar), domgas schemes are gathering momentum. Despite a worldwide surge in gas production during the last decades, some States have not been able to simultaneously meet their overseas gas commitments and their fast-growing domestic demand for gas, forcing the curtailment of pipeline exports and the progressive slowdown in LNG exports as the domestic sector is prioritized. [3]

Ideally, States should consider the terms and conditions of E&P contracts executed or approved any domgas obligation is established. If the producer/exporter holds a right to freely export gas or LNG, States should consider grandfathering such E&P contracts, or if not, accept the risk of being exposed to legal claims brought by such investors. However, the reality is that Host States respond to economic and political pressure, which generally prevail over respecting existing investors rights. [4]

In this context, in addition to structuring an investment under the protection of a Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT), a precise allocation of the regulatory risk within the gas export agreement or LNG sales and purchase agreement (SPA) is fundamental and may be achieved, for example, by using a regulatory force majeure clause.

During the 1980s, the U.S. experienced the so-called take-or-pay wars between natural gas producers (acting as sellers) and pipeline companies (acting as buyers), triggered by a combination of natural gas surplus and falling natural gas prices in the U.S. domestic market and take-or-pay clauses in gas sales agreements. [5]

Recently, during the mid-2000s onwards, the Southern Cone went through deliver-or-pay wars between Argentine natural gas exporters and their Brazilian, Chilean and Uruguayan customers (mainly power generators and gas distribution companies), due to a combination of gas shortage in the Argentine domestic market and deliver-or-pay clauses in gas export agreements. [6]

Take-or-pay and deliver-or-pay clauses follow the same pattern. They specify a monthly or annual minimum quantity of gas that the buyer or seller has to take or deliver, respectively, and if not, pay for it. Such clauses are well-known in project financing of gas-to-power and LNG export projects, because they protect parties from volume risk and are key to securing an income stream. [7]

To be discharged from their deliver-or-pay commitments, Argentine natural gas producers that during the mid-1990s had entered into long-term (15-20 years) gas export agreements with Brazilian, Chilean and Uruguayan importers, invoked the force majeure clause of their relevant agreements. In a nutshell, they alleged that the Government of Argentina had drastically changed the legal framework applicable to gas exports by imposing a domgas obligation and curtailing exports until the domestic market was fully supplied.

Importers rejected the regulatory force majeure arguing that the export curtailments were (i) not unforeseeable (as the Government of Argentina always had the right to establish a domgas scheme), (ii) not external (as the gas shortage in Argentina was due to the producers lack of investment in E&P), and (iii) not impossible (as the producers could still export if they implemented energy swaps at their cost). [8]

The outcomes of these disputes have been diverse. Producers have prevailed in some, importers in others, some have been settled, and some are still in arbitration. But ultimately, in one way or another, the force majeure clause drafted in those gas export agreements was not as effective as it should have been.

When negotiating the force majeure clause in a gas export agreement or LNG SPA, producers may consider the following guidelines based on the experience gained during the deliver-or-pay wars of the Southern Cone:

*Include a regulatory force majeure clause that specifically captures all types of Governmental restrictions affecting the free marketing of gas. This includes oral, , and informal orders. Indeed, the Government of Argentina used to implement the export curtailments through telephone calls to the dispatch operators or transportation companies ordering them to re-route export volumes to the domestic market, without issuing any formal restriction or regulation.

*Include both total partial restrictions (not only prohibitions). The Government of Argentina did not prohibit gas exports but the condition precedent for exporting was to maintain the domestic market fully supplied. In practice, this obligation worked like a prohibition as one producer cannot guarantee the supply of an entire domestic market.

*Use broad language when defining Authority or Government. Such drafting should aim to capture situations where the regulation is not necessarily implemented by the enforcement authority, but rather by or Government officials, or even third-party private companies (gas transporters) by mandate of the Government.

*Include a Representation on the main legal assumption relied upon by the parties, such as the firm (non-interruptible) nature of the gas export permit issued by the Host State. By way of example, a representation like this would have been helpful for the producer in the deliver-or-pay wars of the Southern Cone: The Parties acknowledge that pursuant to the applicable legal framework the Seller holds a valid export license that grants the right to export xx M3/day of natural gas on a firm basis; that this right is essential to ensure the performance of sellers obligations; and that it is unaffected by any supervening gas shortages in the domestic market.

*When facing a force majeure event, be clear to state whether the seller has (or does not have) the obligation to provide substitute gas or alternative fuels ( , diesel oil, fuel oil, LNG, etc.) and which party bears any resulting incremental costs.

*Establish which mechanisms are triggered when a force majeure event occurs. Additionally to the suspension of the obligation while the event occurs, will the parties have the right to terminate the agreement upon certain conditions?

*Be clear if the obligation (if any) to negotiate in good faith a mutual satisfactory solution entails undertaking additional costs or a shared sacrifice.

*If the seller makes a representation regarding the existence of sufficient gas reserves, be sure to specifically qualify certified volumes by reference to current economic and regulatory conditions in the Host State. The Southern Cone will eventually embark on a second generation of gas export projects, as vast quantities of shale gas have been discovered in the region. Other regions (including Canada and the U.S.) are also embarking in new gas export projects. As a well-known Spanish philosopher said: Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it. [9] Come what may, let us learn from the deliver-or-pay wars of the Southern Cone.

[1] Oxford Energy Forum, Issue 93 on East Mediterranean Gas opportunities and challenges, dated October 10 th, 2013, available at http://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/OEF-93.pdf (last accessed May 19, 2014). The DomGas Alliance, Western Australias Domestic Gas Security (Report 2010), available at www.domgas.com.au (last accessed May 19, 2014).

[2] Toms Lanardonne Domestic Gas Supply Obligation Schemes and Gas Exports: A Catch-22 Situation?, OGEL (2014).

[3] For instance, in Egypt, the domestic gas demand increased from 2.2 BCM in 1980 to 45 BCM in 2010 and could reach 56 BCM in 2015. The domestic gas demand is increasing so rapidly that the country decided at the end of 2008 to introduce a 2-year moratorium, renewed at the end of 2010, on any increase to the current level of gas exports of near 20 BCM, priority being now given to the domestic gas markets ( Hakim Darbouche , East Mediterranean Gas: what kind of a game-changer, at Oxford Energy Forum, Issue 93 on East Mediterranean Gas opportunities and challenges, dated October 10 th, 2013, available at http://www.oxfordenergy.org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/OEF-93.pdf (last accessed May 19, 2014).

[4] Argentina radically altered its natural gas regulatory framework in 2004 (including the establishment of a domgas scheme), several gas export projects to Chile, Uruguay and Brazil were approved and in operation. This prompted multiple investment arbitrations against Argentina brought by natural gas producers/exporters (including ExxonMobil, Total, Wintershall, etc.). a list of the cases at www.icsid.worldbank.org.

[5] J. Michael Medina, The Take-or-Pay Wars: A Cautionary Analysis for the Future, 27 Tulsa Law Journal 283 1991-1992.

[6] YPF loses on liability in Brazil gas exports case, dated May 30, 2013, Global Arbitration Review, available at http://globalarbitrationreview.com/news/article/31619/ypf-loses-liability-brazil-gas-exports-case/ (last accessed May 19, 2014).

[7]

[2001], UKHL 18.

[8] Mahmoud Reza Firoozmand, Changed Circumstances and Immutability of Contract: a Comparative Analysis of Force Majeure and Related Doctrines, Journal of International Business Law, Volume 8, No. 2, May 2007; and Force Majeure Clause in Long-Term Petroleum Contracts: Key Issues in Drafting, 24 Journal of Energy and Natural Resources Law 423-2006.

[9] George Santayana, The Life of Reason, 284 (2 nd ed. 1922).

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